No, we've not reached AGI

Last week OpenAI’s president Greg Brockman made a pretty wild claim when announcing OpenAI’s latest model GPT-6 Astra:

“I think that if we fast-forward a couple of years, when we look back and say, ‘When was it really that AGI was created?’ I think it’s going to be about this time, and I think it might be about this model.”

- Wired

No, we have not reached AGI yet. Nor does it seem likely in the next few years. LLM tools are certainly getting better at automated tasks, software development, and document writing, but they’re still heavily reliant on human interaction and direction. I won’t believe OpenAI or Anthropic or any other AI company until they “hire” their own AI to a position on their C-suite.

The term “AGI” means next to nothing. Altman said so himself last year. “AI” and “AGI” aren’t well-defined terms*, which gives AI companies excellent wiggle room for marketing while also avoiding legal liability when their tech doesn’t work as expected.

We must remember, as OpenAI is looking to IPO soon, they’re going to say stuff like this. OpenAI has to hype their models to pump their share price as much as possible while the going is good, and make off with the big $ sack before the circular deals and crazy accounting catch up with them.

* humans have had centuries to think about this topic, and produced thousands of books (and podcasts) discussing what even is “intelligence”.